Service Plays Friday 4/16/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

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[ugk]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

NHL Playoffs 2-1 +10.95 units
4* Detroit Red Wings -130
4* New Jersey Devils -1.5 +165

MLB
4* Chicago White Sox -140
3* Minnesota Twins -130

GOOD LUCK!

 

[ugk]

THE PREZ
MLB Total Of The Day 4-16-10
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
7* Play on UNDER 9 Runs

 

[ugk]

DAVID CHAN
MLB GAME OF THE WEEK
Philadelphia Phillies

REASON FOR PICK: Take the Phillies to win 1.5 units.

Roy Halladay’s start has been moved up from Saturday to this Friday game. That actually puts him on regular rest as the club had a day off this week. The Phillies want this horse to carry the load as often as he can—and so do we. He featured in our Game of the Week last week, and he’s the Game of the Week again.

In his first two starts, Halladay has thrown 16 IP with a WHIP of 0.94, a ridiculous ERA of 0.56, all the while fanning 17 while walking 2. He’s backed up by an offense that can score runs from anywhere in the order. Florida starter Anibal Sanchez is nothing special.

Take the Phillies as early as you can—this number’s only going higher. Best of luck, DC.

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Today's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays (-110, 8.5)

Has Angels manager Mike Scioscia mastered the art of the team meeting?

Remember last season when the Angels played .500 ball for the first two months, held a team gathering after a sloppy loss to the Rays on June 11 and went 68-36 the rest of the way?

He didn't wait that long for the annual closed-door chat after the Halos' 2-6 start. Scioscia called the team together Tuesday and they promptly went out and beat the Bronx Bombers on Wednesday.

"Today we seemed to have a little more fire," Torii Hunter said after the victory. "You don't know if it was the meeting yesterday, but today I saw something different in the pitching staff, the hitters and the way we played defensively, all the way around."

While it's too early to call it a turning point, the Angels head north of the border to meet the Blue Jays today with a lot more confidence. They will give the ball to ace Jered Weaver, who's off to a hot start by allowing just four earned runs in 12 innings of work.

Weaver is especially sharp against the Jays, going 5-1 in his career with a level 3.00 ERA. Look for Weaver to shut down what has been a red-hot Jays team.

Pick: Angels


Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (-210, Off)

Houston had a problem, but may have put it in the past with Thursday's victory over St. Louis.

Off to an 0-8 start, the Astros salvaged their series finale against Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals for their first win of the season.

Houston now heads to Wrigley Field to meet the Cubs and banged-up starter Carlos Silva, who experienced some soreness in his shoulder after his first start at the Reds, where he pitched six innings and settled for a no-decision.

The Astros will go with Felipe Paulino, who was in line for a win against the Phillies in his first start before the bullpen blew it.

It's hard to trust Silva at this price.

Pick: Astros

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Today's Best NHL Bets

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins (-260, 5.5)

In a series that features stars on both sides of the ice, the Ottawa Senators turned to their role players for a lift in Wednesday’s 5-4 Game 1 victory in Pittsburgh.

Tough guys Chris Neil, Jarkko Ruutu, Chris Kelly and Peter Regin all found the back of the net for the Senators while defenseman Erik Karlsson also scored in the opening win.

"We're trying to do it by committee, we're trying to do it as a team, we're trying to get in shooting lanes, we're trying to block shots, we're trying to have numbers at the bluelines," Ottawa coach Cory Clouson told CBC Sports.

As much as Clouson is happy those skaters contributed, he knows not to count on those goals in Game 2 Friday. He would much rather see stars like Daniel Alfredsson and Jason Spezza stepping up. Those two had an assist each but Alfredsson failed to register a shot on goal while Spezza managed just three shots on goal.

On the other hand, Pittsburgh’s studs were walking tall. Evgeni Malkin scored twice and added a helper while Sidney Crosby picked up three assists. Those two combined for six shots on goal in the loss and will be aiming to tie this series at 1-1 before making the move to Ottawa for Game 3 Sunday.

"We want to have our best effort each and every shift, but you're playing good teams in the playoffs, and there's going to be swings in momentum," Crosby told reporters. "It's a matter of adjusting, it's a matter of executing when you get chances."

Pick: Pittsburgh


Detroit Red Wings at Phoenix Coyotes (115, 5)

Phoenix has been a team of opportunity all season.

The Coyotes made the most of a down year in the Pacific Division, jumped on a hot goalie in Ilya Bryzgalov and took advantage of Detroit’s penalties in Wednesday’s 3-2 Game 1 victory at home.

Phoenix scored all three of its goals with the man advantage, finishing the game 3-for-4 on the power play. The Coyotes weren’t that opportunistic during the regular season, ranking 28th in the NHL in power-play efficiency.

Those man advantages helped Phoenix dig itself out of a 2-1 first period lead. The Coyotes were a little anxious in their first period and a half of playoff hockey since 2002.

“We might have had too much emotion at the beginning,” Coyotes’ captain Shane Doan told the media. “But that’s okay, it’s been too long for a lot of us.”

Expect those postseason jitters to be calmed by the time the puck drops Friday night.

Pick: Phoenix

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL WRITE-UP


Friday, April 16

2009-10 playoffs

Underdogs are 5-2 so far in playoffs; under is 5-1-1.

Devils got beat in first round last two years, are 2-3 in first round series since winning last Cup in '03; they lost opener in series 2-1, going 0-5 on power play (full 10:00 with man edge). Flyers had only 14 shots in first game of series, but killed off five penalties despite losing 10 faceoffs out of 12 while a man short-- they're 4-3 in last seven games at New Jersey.

Penguins lost six of last eight games vs Ottawa, going 2-3 this year. Sens scored pair of power play goals in just 4:51 with man advantage in first game, scoring five goals on just 26 shots and winning 30 of 46 faceoffs while at even strength. Penguins went 7-10 in last 17 games, scoring 7-0-6-4 goals in last four. Ottawa is 5-2 in its last seven road games.

Sharks were ousted in first round of playoffs LY, after going 53-18-11 in regular season, now they're down 1-0 again, after losing 2-1 in the series opener. Home side won four of last five in series, after Sharks were 4-0 vs Colorado LY. Avalanche lost three of four, seven of last ten games. Sharks won eight of last eleven games, but ton of pressure on them here.

Red Wings outshot Phoenix 20-10 in first period of Game 1, led 2-1, but didn't score again; Coyotes are 3-2 vs Detroit this year, winning Game One 3-2, scoring three power play goals in 3:58 with man edge. Phoenix was 1-11 vs Red Wings the last three years, but now can go up 2-0 with win here. Detroit mustered only 20 shots in last two periods, after they had those 20 shots in first period.

Predators missed playoffs LY; they've never won playoff series, losing in first round four times. Nashville won three of last four games- nine of its last 12 games stayed under total. Blackhawks lost in semifinals LY, their first playoffs in six years; they won six of last seven games overall, six of eight games vs Nashville, four of last five vs Preds in this building.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB WRITE-UP


Friday, April 16

Hot pitchers
-- Silva allowed one run in six IP (71 PT) in his first start for the Cubs.
-- Duke is 2-0, 3.00 in his first two '10 starts. Leake allowed one run in 6.1 IP, had two hits in first big league start.
-- Halladay is 2-0, 1.13 in his first two NL starts.
-- Braves scored 23 points in winning Lowe's first two starts.

-- Sabathia is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts this season. Wilson blanked Jays for seven innings in first '10 start, his first start since 2005.
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 2.40 in two starts this season.
-- Oakland won both Braden starts this season (1-0, 2.77).
-- Mariners won both FHernandez starts (0-0, 3.95); bullpen backed him with 4.1 scoreless IP. Bonderman allowed one run in five IP (91 PT) in his first '10 start.

Cold pitchers
-- Paulino allowed four runs in five IP in his first '10 start.
-- Gallardo is 0-2, 7.50 in his first two '10 starts. Lannan is 1-1, 8.31 in his first two starts, getting only two swings/misses out of 171 pitches.
-- Sanchez allowed five runs in six IP in his first '10 start.
-- Hammel allowed four runs in seven IP in his first '10 start.
-- Carpenter has 7.36 RA in his first two '10 starts. OPerez allowed four runs in 5.2 IP (01 PT) in his first '10 start.
-- Jackson is 1-1, 5.25 in his first two Arizona starts. Garland is 0-2, 9.00 in his first two San Diego starts.
-- Wellemeyer allowed four runs in 6.1 IP in losing his first 2010 start to the Braves, 7-2. Padilla allowed 11 runs in 8.2 IP in his first two starts.

-- Talbot allowed four runs in five IP (104 PT) in his first '10 start.
-- Angels won both Weaver starts this year (1-0, 3.00). Marcum is 0-0, 3.46 in his first two starts this season.
-- Beckett has a 6.17 RA in his two starts this season. Rays lost 10-0 in first Davis start this year (six IP, four runs).
-- Greinke is 0-1, 4.26 in two starts this season. Baker is 1-1, 3.86 in his two starts this season.
-- Millwood is 0-1, 4.26 in two starts this season.

Totals
-- Last three Cub games went over the total. Houston's last four games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Cincinnati road games went over the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over the total
-- Eight of ten Florida games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Arizona games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Giant games went over the total.

-- Six of nine Bronx games went over the total. Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Texas games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Cleveland games this season.
-- Three of four Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Last five Kansas City games went over the total. Under is 4-1-1 in Twins' last six games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Balitmore road games.
-- Five of last six Seattle games stayed under. Last four Detroit games all went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Cubs are 3-1 this season in game following a loss.
-- Phillies won five of their last six games. Marlins won six of their last nine games.
-- Rockies won three of their last four games. Braves won their last two games, 6-1/6-2.
-- Cardinals won six of their first nine games.
-- Diamondbacks are 3-0 in game following a loss.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine games.

-- Bronx won four of its last five games. Rangers won three of four.
-- Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
-- Rays won last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Twins won seven of their last nine games.
-- A's won their last four home games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games. Seattle won its last couple games, allowing total of two runs.

Cold teams
-- Astros lost eight of their first nine games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals are 0-3 in series openers this season. Brewers lost four of their last six games.
-- Reds lost last two games, scoring five runs; none of their starting Ps have a win yet.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.

-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox are 3-5 in last eight games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their first ten games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Bruins Thursday night.

Friday it's the Reds. The deficit is 175 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 424-284 (.599)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 2, best-of-7 series
Philadelphia vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 4, Ottawa 3
Western Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 2, best-of-7 series
SAN JOSE 3, Colorado 2
PHOENIX 3, Detroit 2
Game 1, best-of-7 series
CHICAGO 3, Nashville 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, APRIL 16

NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (7-2) at L.A. Dodgers (4-5)

Two of the fiercest rivals in baseball hook up for the first time in 2010, as the Dodgers’ Vicente Padilla (0-1, 11.42 ERA) is slated to oppose Todd Wellemeyer (0-1, 5.68) at Dodger Stadium.
San Francisco is off to a torrid start and dating to last year, the team has won 13 of 16 overall and four straight on the road. The Giants took Thursday off after wrapping up a six-game homestand with a 6-0 rout of the Pirates, and they opened the season with a three-game road sweep of the Astros, outscoring Houston 18-6. Additionally, Bruce Bochy’s team is on runs of 14-3 in series openers, 6-1 against the N.L. West, 9-1 versus right-handed starters (5-0 on the road) and 6-2 on Friday. Los Angeles finished up a three-game home series against Arizona with Thursday’s thrilling 6-5 10-inning victory. The Dodgers rallied from deficits of 3-0 and 5-3, scoring two runs in the bottom of the ninth to tie it at 5, then Andre Ethier drove in the game-winner with a one-out RBI single in the 10th. Going back to last year’s National League Championship Series loss to the Phillies, the Dodgers have dropped eight of 12, but nine of those games were on the road. They remain on positive runs of 7-2 at home, 6-1 at home against right-handed starters and 5-1 when Padilla faces N.L. West squads. The Dodgers went 11-7 against San Francisco in 2009, and after the home team won the first four meetings, the visitor took eight of the final 14. Wellemeyer, who spent three full seasons with the Cardinals from 2007-2009, pitched 6 1/3 innings in his Giants debut Saturday, giving up four runs on seven hits in taking a 7-2 loss. Going back to last July with St. Louis, Wellemeyer has given up 23 earned runs in his last five starts covering just 24 1/3 innings (8.51 ERA), and his teams lost four of the five contests. Wellemeyer has made six appearances (one start) against the Dodgers, giving up six runs in 12 2/3 innings (4.26 ERA). The one start came at Dodger Stadium in 2008, and the right-hander surrendered three runs on five hits in six innings, losing 4-3. Padilla pitched the Dodgers to a pair of playoff victories over the Cardinals and Phillies last October, but in his past three starts (one in the playoffs, two to begin this season), the veteran right-hander has given up 17 runs (all earned) on 18 hits (five home runs) in 11 2/3 innings. The Dodgers lost all three games (all on the road) after winning seven of his first nine starts after Padilla joined the Dodgers in late August. Including one playoff game, Padilla was 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA in four starts at Dodger Stadium last year. He’s also 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 11 career appearances (nine starts) against San Francisco, including 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two starts last year. San Francisco is 3-1-1 “under” in its last five on the road, but otherwise it is on “over” tears of 5-1-1 overall, 12-5-1 against division rivals, 4-0 after a day off, 8-1-2 in series openers, 5-1-2 versus right-handed starters and 4-1 on Friday. Likewise, Los Angeles is on a slew of “over” runs, including 22-8-2 overall, 9-3-1 at home (3-0 this season), 10-3-1 versus N.L. West foes, 6-0 against right-handed starters, 5-0-1 in series openers and 7-2-1 with Padilla starting.
Finally, the last six Giants-Dodgers battles last year – and the last four clashes in Los Angeles – hurdled the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Tampa Bay (6-3) at Boston (4-5)

The Red Sox return to Fenway Park following a six-game road trip, and they’ll hand the ball to ace Josh Beckett (1-0, 6.17) to open this four-game series against the Rays, who will counter with rookie Wade Davis (0-1, 6.00). Tampa Bay is coming off a three-game sweep of the Orioles, finishing it with Wednesday’s 9-1 rout as it outscored Baltimore 22-8 in the series. The Rays, who have won four in a row on the highway since last year, are on positive runs of 12-5 overall, 15-5 against the A.L. East, 36-16 on Friday, and 5-0 when opening a series. However, they’ve lost four of five after an off day and 13 of 18 on the road against right-handed starters. Boston completed its road trip with Thursday’s 8-0 loss to the Twins, losing two of three in the series after taking two of three in Kansas City last weekend. The Red Sox opened 2010 with three home games against the hated Yankees, winning the first but losing the next two. They’ve still won 56 of 82 at Fenway Park, though they’re just 1-8 in their last nine against A.L. East foes. These teams split their 18-game season series last year, but Boston won the last four in a row. Also, the Rays have lost 53 of their last 69 games at Fenway Park. Davis gave up four runs on seven hits and four walks in six innings against the Yankees on Saturday, as Tampa Bay got bombed 10-0 at home. The 24-year-old right-hander made six starts down the stretch in 2009, including an ugly 9-1 loss at Fenway Park in which he yielded eight runs on six hits and four walks in just 2 2/3 innings. However, he followed that five days later with his only other road outing to date, a complete-game 3-0 shutout at Baltimore. Beckett lasted just 4 2/3 innings in his Fenway debut against the Yankees on April 4 (five runs, eight hits allowed), and followed that with Saturday’s 8-3 win at Kansas City as he scattered three runs on nine hits in seven innings. With Beckett on the mound, Boston is on runs of 4-1 overall, 14-3 at home, 13-4 against the A.L. East, 7-0 in series openers and 8-3 on Friday.
The Red Sox are also 6-1 in Beckett’s last seven starts against the Rays, against whom the right-hander is 7-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 15 career outings. Last year, Beckett went 2-1 with 5.02 ERA in five starts versus Tampa Bay, but 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in three games at home. Tampa Bay is on “over” runs of 5-1 overall (all versus the A.L. East), 5-1 on the road, 4-0 on Friday and 7-3 in series openers. Also, Boston has topped the total in four of five at home and five of six against the A.L. East, and with Beckett working, the Sox are on “over” surges of 4-1 overall, 7-1 at home, 6-0 within the division and 5-0 in series openers. However, four of Beckett’s last five outings versus the Rays have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
433 - 312 run 59 %

Bonus Play FRI Tigers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SUPER POGODAK 16/04

Arles - Guingamp
Bet on Arles @2.05

Brest - Bastia
Bet on Brest @2.10

Greuther Furth - Paderborn
Bet on Greuther Furth @1.80

Augsburg - Duisburg
Bet on Augsburg @2.10

Inter Milan - Juventus
Bet on Inter Milan @1.75

Excelsior - Den Bosch
Bet on Excelsior @1.95

Cambuur - Helmond
Bet on Cambuur @1.75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
16.04.2010 Italy Serie A Internationale - Juventus Internationale
16.04.2010 France Ligue 2 Vannes - Istres Istres +0.5
Kick-off at 19:00

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Moore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, April 16, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: This is a BIGGIE going from Jimmy on Friday night!!! It's my 5* NHL playoff total of the week and it goes for ONLY $25! As usual with Jimmy this play is guaranteed to win or you don't pay. I am RED HOT right now here on YouWinNow.com and I was a big winner on Thursday night with the under in the Buffalo - Boston game. Join me on Friday night for this big puckin' winner. 4/15/2010

#71 - #72 5* Detroit - Phoenix UNDER 5 -110 (10:05 edt) VERSUS
In game 1 of this series there were 5 goals scored, 4 of them were power play goals with all 3 of the Coyotes goals coming with the man advantage. Phoenix probably won't score 3 more power play goals in the rest of this series and you know the Wings will be better on the PK. Also Detroit will struggle to score with the Coyotes playing as good a defense as they are and there is no way Bryzgolav will allow a bad goal like he did in game 1. Everything points to a 2-1 or 1-0 game in this one. Thank you and good luck.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, April 16, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton loves the early season baseball card, with so many soft numbers. He cashed Saturday with the Cubs at even money, and Sunday with a 5* AL Game of the Month (Red Sox) and last night with another 5-Star Play on the Braves! The winning continues Friday with another 5-Star play, this time an AL Game of the Month, a complete rout on the diamond! 4/15/2010

5* (969) White Sox at Indians: The White Sox got their offense rolling this week, despite a 7-3 loss yesterday. The previous night Carlos Quentin drove in a career-high six runs, highlighted by a grand slam in the top of the fifth, in an 11-1 rout. This offense will have no trouble hitting in Cleveland's small stadium, especially against Mitch Talbot and his 7.20 ERA. His problems are youth and control, walking 5 batters in 5 innings, as well as 6 hits allowed. meanwhile, the White Sox have no such worries with ace lefty Mark Buehrle, who is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA. He's already faced the punchless Cleveland lineup this season, firing a 3-hitter with no runs in 7 innings. Play the White Sox.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Merril

Twins
Diamondbacks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Phillies(RL)
W. Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PlusLineSports 04-16

Philadelphia @ NJ Under 5 goals

NHL Playoff Record
2-0

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
White Sox -110